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Post by johnk on Apr 13, 2008 16:30:23 GMT -5
Here are my predictions for the next few boots depending upon which tribe goes to TC and if there are no swaps. Thant - Ozzy - Michelle messaged me saying that she and Danni cut a deal with James and Ozzy was the next out. Fine by me. Ozzy made the dumbest move he could have made voting me out. With me, he would have been 1 of the last 2 on that tribe cause Michelle would have gone and then Danni, then James (unless he turns on me that vote). Now, even if he were to get James out before himself (getting Danni and Michelle to go back on their deal), he would have been in a worse position than if he sided with me. That's the difference between a good player and Ozzy: a good player would have made a vote based on what their best interest was. Ozzy made one based on who was a threat overall in the game even though this threat was on his side and would have taken him further in the game. His loss, he's here next and he deserves it for his stupid move. Also, he screwed himself come a swap. With my display name, I am making sure people know he not only stabbed me in the back, but that he sided with Michelle and coming into the game, there was a huge anti-Michelle movement. Good job Ozzy. You sure are a great strategist Waldheim - Alicia - I'm sure Kathy's just been waiting to take Alicia out. I am going to guess you voted for Alicia on your way out, Hunter? If you did, then I think Kathy will get Alicia out. Ki-Moon - Silas - Jason and JP don't see eye-to-eye, so Silas has to be the next out. That other tribe - Fairplay - He's gone inactive and isn't too popular with his tribemates to begin with.
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Post by Jeff Probst on Apr 14, 2008 7:07:02 GMT -5
I actually agree with you on Ozzy's strategy. The first time I read about it in his confessional, I was like o_0 and I'm almost certain it will end up biting him later own. Some people here seem to think that 'making more moves' is what will help them win, forgetting that Amber managed to win the CBS All-Stars game, even if everyone thought it was undeserved.
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Post by johnk on Apr 14, 2008 11:14:29 GMT -5
So, other than to see Ozzy get eliminated, is there any real reason I should keep checking back in here?
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Hunter
Voted Out
19th Place
Posts: 364
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Post by Hunter on Apr 15, 2008 9:19:02 GMT -5
Here are my predictions for the next few boots depending upon which tribe goes to TC and if there are no swaps. Thant - Ozzy - Michelle messaged me saying that she and Danni cut a deal with James and Ozzy was the next out. Fine by me. Ozzy made the dumbest move he could have made voting me out. With me, he would have been 1 of the last 2 on that tribe cause Michelle would have gone and then Danni, then James (unless he turns on me that vote). Now, even if he were to get James out before himself (getting Danni and Michelle to go back on their deal), he would have been in a worse position than if he sided with me. That's the difference between a good player and Ozzy: a good player would have made a vote based on what their best interest was. Ozzy made one based on who was a threat overall in the game even though this threat was on his side and would have taken him further in the game. His loss, he's here next and he deserves it for his stupid move. Also, he screwed himself come a swap. With my display name, I am making sure people know he not only stabbed me in the back, but that he sided with Michelle and coming into the game, there was a huge anti-Michelle movement. Good job Ozzy. You sure are a great strategist Waldheim - Alicia - I'm sure Kathy's just been waiting to take Alicia out. I am going to guess you voted for Alicia on your way out, Hunter? If you did, then I think Kathy will get Alicia out. Ki-Moon - Silas - Jason and JP don't see eye-to-eye, so Silas has to be the next out. That other tribe - Fairplay - He's gone inactive and isn't too popular with his tribemates to begin with. I completely agree with your predictions John, except for Waldheim. I think that Alicia and Bobby Jon are tight and Sundra might stick with those two, unless Kathy can do some serious convincing. I tried to get everyone to vote Alicia out before I got the boot, mainly because it is obvious that she has ties with Danni and Michele, not to mention she also has ties with JP. JP is smart enough to probably not associate too much with her this game though as it will definately put a target on his back. I know that Kathy is waiting for the opportunity to take Alicia out, but when we had the chance before I went, Waldheim wasn't thinking about down the road in the game (other than myself), they were just looking for people to talk to everyday and I didn't tell them good morning and goodnight enough. I tried to explain to her that once the merge happens, Alicia and company would be a force to be reckoned with and we needed to eradicate that threat then, but that was all to no avail. I did warn her though that the younger people playing will tend to stick together regardless of strategy, but she didn't want to believe me and wanted someone to talk BS with. If Waldheim goes to TC before the merge, I see one of two possibilities, 1) Sundra - She didn't talk publically that much either and if they keep with that philosophy, Sundra could be next, and 2) Kathy - Like I said, the younger people will draw towards each other and stick together and with everyone knowing who everyone is, Kathy could be the odd person out since everyone else in Waldheim have yet to reach their 20's. To answer your question though, I stacked a vote on Bobby Jon, just for the mere fact that he pissed me off by saying the reason they were voting me off was because I didn't communicate as much as everyone else, yet I answered every PM that was sent to me and then some, but I told them that I would use their same philosophy and vote for who communicated with me the least to stack a vote on.
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Post by johnk on Apr 15, 2008 11:08:47 GMT -5
Before the tribes were split, Kathy and I talked about who was talking to us. I think Sundra will stick with Kathy. Knowing now that BJ has a vote, those two may vote BJ just to be safe, but Kathy was more concerned about the Michelle/Danni/Alicia/Jaime/Steph friendship than I was cause I didn't even realize there was that bond. She pointed it out to me, so she knows something needs to be done about it. She probably just couldn't get the votes to save you.
Kathy's a better strategist than she's often given credit for.
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Post by Jeff Probst on Apr 16, 2008 7:48:12 GMT -5
Well, Ki-Moon's going to SC.
So, who's it going to be? Aras, Jaime, Silas, or Steph?
I predict Jaime, only because she's probably been the weakest at challenges so far. If I was on Ki-Moon, I'd want her off the most.
But I don't think Ki-Moon is thinking that way, so maybe Silas could go instead.
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Post by johnk on Apr 16, 2008 10:10:20 GMT -5
Silas is so gone.
Sorry to see you out, Silas.
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Post by Jeff Probst on Apr 16, 2008 17:55:41 GMT -5
It's either Silas or Jaime. Silas for strategic reasons. If Jaime's alliance pulls through, she's safe, but I went through a little segment called "Ki-Moon's Challenge History"... to point out they either lost or accidentally got 3rd for every single challenge so far... Silas could make a comeback, if Aras and Steph decide winning challenge is more important than keeping an alliance.
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Post by johnk on Apr 17, 2008 15:03:31 GMT -5
I think that Ki-Moon was obviously throwing challenges to get Silas out. This All Stars game is going the way of "get out all the threats early". An Amber will win and the season's winner will suck and so will the runner-up (just like on the CBS season).
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Hunter
Voted Out
19th Place
Posts: 364
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Post by Hunter on Apr 17, 2008 23:39:25 GMT -5
I completely agree with you John! Sundra even told me that she had played in two games with me before and in both I went to the finals, so that was another reason for her voting for me, to get rid of a threat.
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Jaime D.
Voted Out
17th Place
Blondes have more fun.
Posts: 203
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Post by Jaime D. on Apr 22, 2008 17:33:08 GMT -5
We never did throw a challenge, we just kind of sucked Nice to see you all around, where's Candie? I'm sure she'd be happy to know she screw me over with her vote last Tribal and saved Silas, it was a tie if you guys wanna know.[/color]
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Post by johnk on Apr 22, 2008 20:27:03 GMT -5
Yeah, I heard there was a tie vote. Who turned on ya?
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Jaime D.
Voted Out
17th Place
Blondes have more fun.
Posts: 203
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Post by Jaime D. on Apr 23, 2008 19:28:08 GMT -5
Steph, funny she sided with Jason but I kind of saw it comming. Aras told me Steph had been wondering if they should turn on me, I did thought she would keep me safe this upcomming round but guess I was wrong. If Ki looses again then its either Silas or Steph, whoever can't get Aras.
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Post by johnk on Apr 23, 2008 20:01:07 GMT -5
Well, I think Aras will be in trouble if Ki-Moon loses again. Hunter went out and then I went out. Silas and Steph probably think that the threats based off of previous placements are all being taken out and with Silas as a 3-time finalist and Steph as a runner-up in Hawaii, they're probably going to have a cease-fire with one another to keep from being picked off by people who haven't placed as well.
On the flip side, I felt that Steph and Aras would have naturally bonded on the Ki-Moon tribe at the very beginning. I see it being more of either Aras or Silas will be the next out and it depends who can swing Steph to them.
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Post by johnk on Apr 23, 2008 20:02:11 GMT -5
Oh, and Ozzy will still be the next out on Thant, although I no longer am rooting for him to come here. He messaged me to see if I was still pissed at him and I told him that I just like to mess with people at times and he gave me ammo. Talking to people helps de-villainize them for me.
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